Check out this Forbes article from August 2014 where I successfully predicted the recent collapse in oil prices. Within the context of rising supplies and falling demand, I decided that the straw that would break the camel’s back on oil prices was the prospect of cheap oil coming to the market from countries in the Western hemisphere. Read on…
Check out this top ten list of GARY stocks. The GARY concept (Growth At The Right Yield) was developed by Frank Gristina of Tell-tale Capital as a way to identify stocks that pay extraordinarily high dividend yields. This article describes the process and identifies ten GARY-type stocks. The most important feature of these stocks is that the dividend is rich and management is committed to it at all costs.
Check out my piece on Forbes.com about how adoption of cloud technology causes lower IT spending, and therefore squeezed margins for legacy IT providers. These vendors will no longer be able to enjoy the large margins of their traditional technologies, and even though they are moving into the cloud, these margin changes will alter their financial make-up – and they will miss estimates as a result.
Visit Forbes.com to see my analysis of why rising prices and falling incomes are hammering consumers, especially in the low-end. Consequently, companies that depend on these consumers for profits will suffer as consumers pull-back their spending levels. Some companies are already feeling the pinch, having recently missed their earnings estimates, and I expect this consumer effect to harm consumer discretionary stocks in the near-future.
Check out my editorial in the Tennessean about how rising food and energy prices are the result of bad government policy. Many pundits believe this is due to inflation, but it’s not!! Just a few policy changes could drop these prices and prove inflation is not the culprit.
Government regulations always rearrange incentives for consumers and corporations, while simultaneously affecting asset prices, for better and for worse. We analyze how changes in regulation affect prices and where investors can capitalize on these price changes.
Governments have the ability to effect several factors in the economy through changes in monetary policy. They can adjust interest rates, unemployment and inflation by changing the supply of money circulating in the economy. These changes affect consumers incentives to buy and invest in certain products, and we analyze these changes to provide clients with optimal investment opportunities.
Take a look at Tell-tale Capital’s top dividend paying stocks for June 2014, found using their GARY (Growth at the Right Yield™) methodology:
The charts below illustrate GARY, which identifies companies with historically low share prices but paying historically high dividend yields. These stocks all screened in the top quartile in Tell-tale’s GARY screen, which measures the growth, profitability and dividend characteristics of over 1500 companies. Read our full write-up for June on Forbes.
For a full explanation of how GARY works, read our Forbes article from April 2014.
Chart 1 (click to expand):
Check out our recent Forbes article describing for investors why food prices are reaching all time highs. The EPA’s pending decision about the ethanol mandate will likely lead to price movement for select stocks and commodities. We believe Tyson’s recent acquisition of Hillshire Brands might be a defensive move against extremely volatile commodity food prices. See how we make the case with charts and graphs.